By The Indus Zone Tech Desk | Updated: November 11, 2025 | Bihar Election 2025 Exit Polls
As the Bihar Assembly Election 2025 concludes with a record voter turnout, early exit poll results suggest that the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) may be heading for another term in power. With the final results expected on November 14, political and market analysts are already assessing what this outcome could mean for the Indian stock market.
Bihar Exit Poll Results 2025: NDA in Advantage
According to various exit poll agencies, the NDA appears to have a clear lead over the Mahagathbandhan (MGB) alliance.
Dainik Bhaskar Exit Poll: NDA – 145 to 160 seats, MGB – 73 to 91 seats
People’s Insight Poll: NDA – 133 to 148 seats, MGB – 87 to 102 seats
People’s Pulse Poll: NDA – 133 to 159 seats, MGB – 75 to 101 seats
If these predictions hold true, Bihar could once again see an NDA-led government, solidifying its political dominance in one of India’s largest states.
Impact on the Indian Stock Market
While state elections typically revolve around local issues, the Bihar election results still hold symbolic value for investors and traders. Experts believe that an NDA victory could provide short-term positive sentiment in the market, though the overall impact is expected to be limited.
G. Chokkalingam, Founder and Head of Research at Equinomics Research Pvt. Ltd., explains:
“Even if the NDA performs poorly, it’s unlikely to cause a major market setback. Bihar holds about 7% of India’s Lok Sabha seats — important, but not decisive enough to affect national-level economic policies.”
He further adds that assembly election outcomes closer to the 2029 Lok Sabha Elections would carry much more weight for the stock markets.
Why Market Reactions May Remain Mild
According to VK Vijayakumar, Chief Investment Strategist at Geojit Financial Services:
“A decisive NDA win could lift market sentiment, but it’s not likely to change the current market trend. The market remains in a consolidation phase, supported by strong earnings forecasts but limited by ongoing FII (Foreign Institutional Investor) selling.”
In other words, the Bihar election results may bring temporary enthusiasm but are not expected to cause major volatility or policy shifts in the Indian stock market.
What’s Next
The Bihar election results will be officially announced on November 14, 2025. Investors are advised to stay cautious and avoid speculative decisions based solely on political developments. As always, market movements depend more on global cues, inflation trends, and corporate earnings rather than individual state poll outcomes.
Key Takeaways
Exit polls suggest a strong lead for the NDA in the Bihar Election 2025.
Market experts say the impact on the Indian stock market will likely be short-term and sentiment-driven.
Investors should focus on long-term fundamentals instead of short-term political reactions.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only. Views expressed by market experts are their own. Investors should consult certified financial advisors before making investment decisions.
